UFC Fight Night 88: Almeida vs Garbrandt Date: May 29, 2016 Arena: Mandalay Bay Events Center City: Las Vegas, NV The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is back in Las Vegas, NV with UFC Fight Night 88: Almeida vs Garbrandt. The night of action features 11 bouts, culminating with a five round bantamweight showdown between two of the most feared, undefeated prospects in the division. Preliminary card action gets underway at 6pm ET on UFC Fight Pass and 7pm ET on FOX Sports 1, with the main card kicking off on the same channel at 9pm ET. If interested in wagering on these plays, or any plays for this fight card, all betting lines will be made available at Several Bookmakerss. Here are my prop plays: Chris Camozzi (+110) vs Vitor Miranda (-120) Camozzi Inside the Distance (+502) 1u to win 5.02u I was initially going to recommend Camozzi by T/KO for a lay at +1200 but it has just been bet all the way down to +731, so now I see more value in the ITD prop at +502, considering the fact that I think there’s a chance Camozzi could finish this fight by submission; most likely guillotine choke. Jorge Masvidal (+100) vs Lorenz Larkin (-110) Larkin by T/KO (+420) .5u to win 2.1u I think Larkin is more likely to win this fight on the judges’ scorecards. I see his advantages in size and strength making a difference in this fight and I could see it resulting in a T/KO victory for him, which would likely send Masvidal back down to the lightweight division. Joshua Burkman (+265) vs Paul Felder (-295) Burkman by T/KO (+940) .25u to win 2.35u Burkman +3.5 (+130) 1u to win 1.3u I think this is a close fight and one that could likely hit the judges’ scorecards for a decision. Should Burkman come out on the losing end of that, I think there’s a good chance that he would have done enough to win at least one round on the cards. I also see value in the Burkman by T/KO prop at +940, as he packs serious power for a 155-pounder and I could see him catching Felder with a counter during an exchange, despite the fact that Felder generally has a great chin. Abel Trujillo (-300) vs Jordan Rinaldi (+250) Rinaldi in Round Three (+2225) .4u to win 8.9u Rinaldi +3.5 (+155) 1u to win 1.55u Simply put, I favor the promotional newcomer Rinaldi in this spot and I think he either gets the job done on the judges’ scorecards or by late finish. I could see a late second round finish, but for our sake, let’s hope it comes sometime in the third! Alberto Uda Pereira (+100) vs Jake Collier (-110) Pereira by T/KO (+400) 1u to win 4u Pereira by Submission (+595) 1u to win 5.95u I see value in both of these lines, as I think Uda will make a successful promotional debut and stop Collier in impressive fashion. Collier is in the best shape he’s ever been but I don’t think that will be enough. I think Uda hurts him and ultimately gets the T/KO stoppage or secures a submission to wrap things up. Erik Koch (+135) vs Shane Campbell (-155) Koch by T/KO (+480) 1u to win 4.8u I see holes in Campbell’s striking defense and I think Koch is the type of striker who could expose them and put his opponent away.
