UFC 193 Date: November 14, 2015 Arena: Etihad Stadium City: Melbourne, Victoria, Australia The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) heads to Melbourne, Victoria, Australia for the first time in promotional history with UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm. The event will be feauturing 13 bouts in entirety, starting off with Fight Pass prelims at 6:15pm. The FOX Sports 1 prelims will get going at 8pm ET and the main card will kick off at 10pm ET on Pay Per View. If interested in wagering on any plays for this fight card, all betting lines will be made available at Several Bookmakerss. My Over/Under Totals are: Women’s Strawweight bout: Joanna Jedrzejczyk (-2000) vs Valerie Letourneau (+1250) Gabe’s Thoughts: I think this fight is going to be a lot closer than the betting odds currently indicate, though I still believe Joann Champion is going to get her hand raised. Her chances of finishing Letourneau, in my opinion, are not as great as most people think. I do think she could potentially batter the French-Canadian up quite violoently, but I think Letourneau will tough it out and be game for at least 2.5 rounds of action, which makes me like this total at +120. I favor her to tough it out until the final bell, so I expect this fight to go past the 2.5 round mark. I would not be shocked to see Letourneau be competitive in this fight, as I think she is the best striker Joanna Champion has faced since the Claudia Gadelha bout. Gabe’s Call: Joanna Champion by Unanimous Decision (50-45, 50-45, 50-45) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Over 2.5 rounds (+120) 3u to win 3.6u Middleweight bout: Robert Whittaker (+125) vs Uriah Hall (-145) Gabe’s Thoughts: This is a scrap between a pair of talented and lethal strikers who are intending on entering the Octagon to put each other away, and I think 12 1/2 minutes of action is plenty of time for one of them to meet that goal. I would not be surprised if this fight plays out for all three rounds, but at these odds, I believe the value is with the Under at -105. Gabe’s Call: Hall by T/KO (head-kick and punches, 1:38 round 1) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Under 2.5 rounds (-105) 2.1u to win 2u Heavyweight bout: Jared Rosholt (-105) vs Stefan Struve (-115) Gabe’s Thoughts: Rosholt is without a doubt the superior wrestler heading into this heavyweight contest and I think his advantage in wrestling is going to be the difference here. I see him closing a distance and getting a hold of Struve’s long legs, which will be a gift to him, as I think he will be finding success with his takedowns. I think this fight goes past 1.5 rounds more often than not, and while I favor Rosholt to win this fight on the judges’ scorecards, I think there’s more value in the Over 1.5 rounds Total at -170 than there is in Rosholt straight up at -105, even though it is a better line. I think Struve’s best chance at a win is by scoring a late stoppage, if Rosholt begins to fade, and if that happened, the Total would still cash. Gabe’s Call: Rosholt by Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Over 1.5 rounds (-170) 5.1u to win 3u
