UFC 186 Date: April 25, 2015 Arena: Bell Centre City: Montreal, Quebec, Canada The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) returns to Montreal, Quebec, Canada this Saturday night (April 25, 2015) with UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi. The main card will get underway at 10pm ET on Pay Per View, with preliminary action preceding it at 8pm ET on Fox Sports 1 and 6:30pm on UFC Fight Pass prior to that. If interested in wagering on this fight card, all betting lines will be made available at Several Bookmakerss. My fights to AVOID betting for UFC 186 are: Lightweight bout: David Michaud (+290) vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier (-350) Fight Prediction: I favor Aubin-Mercier to win this fight, however I don’t agree with the current betting odds. I am looking at a “dog or pass” situation here, and ultimately, I am going to have to pass. I think Michaud is better than a lot of people think and won’t be surprised if he edges this one out. The biggest question I have going into this fight is how much each fighter has improved since their last outing. I shall have my answers come Saturday, as I sit back and enjoy this 155-pound scrap without having any action on the line. Gabe’s Call: Aubin-Mercier by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) Gabe’s Recommended Play: AVOID Welterweight bout: Chris Clements (+220) vs Nordine Taleb (-260) Fight Prediction: I agree with Taleb being the favorite in this contest, but I don’t agree with the current betting odds. I think this is another “dog or pass” situation, and I am again opting to avoid making the play on the underdog. Taleb should win this fight, but laying -260 on him is asking too much. Gabe’s Call: Taleb by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) Gabe’s Recommended Play: AVOID Women’s Strawweight bout: Aisling Daly (+220) vs Ronda Markos (-260) Fight Prediction: I was really hoping to get Markos at a better price here, because I think she’s going to pull this one out. That said, I can’t justify playing her at near 3-to-1 odds. At these odds, I strongly considered making a play on the underdog Daly, as I do think she is a live dog. However, I could not get myself to pull the trigger on it, because even though I think Markos is being overvalued here, I do think she is going to get her hand raised in Montreal this Saturday night. I think Daly offers more betting value than Michaud and Clements, and enough so that I usually would have at least made a small play, but this is one of those instances where I’m gonna stick with my gut, ignore the value, and avoid the play altogether. Gabe’s Call: Markos by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) Gabe’s Recommended Play: AVOID
