Gabe Killian’s Live Dogs for Bellator 130

04_BobbyLashleyStrikeforceHoustonBellator 130 Date: October 24, 2014 Arena: Kansas Star Casino City: Mulvane, KS Bellator 130 will be live from Kansas this Friday night with a 12 fight card, including a four fight main card that will be live on Spike TV at 9pm ET, and with preliminary action getting going on Spike.com at 7pm ET. If interested in wagering on these plays, or any other plays for this fight card, you may do so at Several Bookmakerss. My live dogs for Bellator 130 are: Heavyweight bout: Bobby Lashley (-1000) vs Karl Etherington (+650) Gabe’s Thoughts: Yeah, Lashley should win this fight much more often than not, and most often in the very first round of action, but I don’t believe he should be a -1000 betting favorite over Karl Winslow, much less Karl Etherington. The undefeated Brit will likely taste defeat for the first time in his professional mixed martial arts career, but I think the chances of him winning this fight are a bit better than the huge underdog price of +650 currently suggests, so I think it’s worth a small stab, especially considering the fact that this is a heavyweight fight and he packs power in his hands. Gabe’s Call: Lashley by KO (punch, 1:08 round 1) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Karl Etherington (+650) .2u to win 1.3u Lightweight bout: Davi Ramos (+165) vs David Rickels (-205) Gabe’s Thoughts: Rickels will have the edge on the feet, but as soon as the fight hits the mat, which I think it will, it will be in Ramos’ world. He is a talented submission artist and I feel he will be able to secure a submission victory over Rickels, whether he is in top position or fighting off of his back. Over the course of 15 minutes, I think there is a decent chance he finds the finish. Rickels is a big 155-pounder who packs a lot of power, but I don’t think he will finish Ramos. I won’t be surprised if he does, but I think his best chance at winning this fight is by keeping the fight on the feet and being technical. I don’t think the chances of that happening are too great, as I think Ramos will eventually find a way to get to the mat, perhaps when Rickels gets over-confident on the feet. I am picking Ramos to win this fight, and at the current underdog price of +165, I feel he is the right side for a bet, as I personally think he should be slightly favored at -140 heading into this lightweight contest. Should this scrap hit the judges’ scorecards for a decision, I slightly favor Rickels to take the nod, but think it could go either way. Gabe’s Call: Ramos by Submission (armbar, 3:46 round 1) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Davi Ramos (+165) 2u to win 3.3u

Written by Gabe Killian

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