Over/Under Totals for the TUF 24 Finale

TUF 24 Finale Date: December 3, 2016 Arena: The Pearl at Palms Casino Resort City: Las Vegas, NV The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is back at The Pearl at Palms Casino and Resort in Las Vegas for The Ultimate Fighter Season 24 Finale. The 12-fight card is scheduled to kick off with preliminary action on UFC Fight Pass at 7pm, and prelims will continue on FOX Sports 1 at 8pm and culminate with the main card on the same channel at 10pm. If interested in wagering on any bouts for this fight card, all betting lines will be made available at Several Bookmakers. My Over/Under Totals are: Light Heavyweight bout: Josh Stansbury (-115) vs Devin Clark (-105) Gabe’s Thoughts: I think this is going to be a closely contested match-up in the UFC’s 205-pound division. It is a rare “winner vs loser” match-up, with Stansbury coming off a Majority Decision win over Cody Hendricks in is promotional debut, and Clark losing by first round knockout at the hands of Alex Nicholson in the previously undefeated fighters own debut. I am in complete agreement with the current betting odds in that this is a coin-flip match-up, so for that reason, I see no value in either light heavyweight fighter for a wager here. That said, I do see plenty of value in the Total of Over 1.5 rounds at -140, as I think this bout plays out for seven and a half minutes much more often than not. In fact, I think these two battle it out for all three rounds of action more often than not. I think the Total of Over 1.5 rounds should be -210 here, so I’ll gladly take the -140. Gabe’s Call: Stansbury by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Over 1.5 rounds (-140) 2.8u to win 2u Lightweight bout: Brendan O’Reilly (+105) vs Dong Hyun Kim (-125) Gabe’s Thoughts: I think Kim is the superior mixed martial artist of the two heading into this 155-pound contest. I see him finding success in keeping this fight on the feet for the majority of three rounds to outstrike the Australian for a unanimous decision victory on the judges’ scorecards. The UFC apparently is not very high on O’Reilly, otherwise this fight would have been booked on last weeks Fight Night card in Melbourne. I am not counting O’Reilly out here, I just think Kim is the rightful betting favorite. I think he should be favored at -160, which means I think he holds value and is worth playing at his current offering price of -125. Personally, I am opting to take the Total of Over 2.5 rounds at -120 here instead, as I think that line should be -220 and feel there’s more value to be had there. Regardless of who gets his hand raised, I think this fight goes past the 12 and a half minute mark more often than not. Gabe’s Call: Kim by Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) Gabe’s Recommended Play: Over 2.5 rounds (-120) 3.6u to win 3u