The Ultimate Fighter: Live Episode 10 Betting Preview

The Ultimate Fighter: Live kicks of the quarterfinals this Friday night on FX at 10 p.m. (ET) with not one, but two live fights. The original group of 32 lightweight fighters has been cut down to the final eight with two spots in the semifinals on the line in Episode 10. First up will be Team Faber's Joe Proctor vs. Team Cruz' James Vick. Proctor opened up as a moderate -210 favorite (bet $210 to win $100) over his +170 underdog (bet $100 to win $170) opponent. Proctor won both his elimination and preliminary round bouts by way of first-round submission over Jordan Rinaldi and Chris Tickle, respectively, and he will look to do the same here. The odds are understandable, as Proctor is the more refined fighter with an advantage in the clinch and on the mat. In addition, Proctor is durable and fairly effective with his striking. For what Vick lacks in skill, he makes up for in size. The 6-foot-3, 155-pounder used his long limbs to outwork Dakota Cochrane en route to a split-decision victory in the opening round before going on to knock out Daron Cruickshank with a head kick in the first live fight of the season. His superior reach and kicks will be key if he wants to get past Proctor. Vick will need to keep his distance, counter effectively and stuff his opponent's takedowns. Procter won't go down easily, so Vick's cardio will need to be sufficient for a potential three rounds. The second and final bout of the episode will be contested between -275 favorite Justin Lawrence and +205 dog Michael Chiesa. Lawrence punched his ticket to the quarters by knocking out WEC and Bellator veteran James Krause as well as PRIDE vet Christiano Marcello. The Team Cruz fighter is the owner of a solid wrestling base but typically uses it to keep the fight on the feet, where he can blast his foes with his heavy hands. If he does get put on his his back, he has solid scrambling skills that allow him to quickly get back to the standing position. Chiesa has a solid wrestling game himself but uses it in a more orthodox manner to get the fight to the mat. Once there, he's dangerous with both ground-and-pound and submissions. He showed off these skills in his rear-naked choke win over Johnavan Vistante to gain entry into the TUF house as well as his next victory over Jeremy Larsen to get to the quarterfinals. To gain entry into the semifinals, Chiesa will not only have to overcome his opponent's takedown defense but also the recent passing of his father. That personal loss could prove as extra motivation like it did in his last fight or a distracting hinderance. Chiesa's good friend Sam Sicilia also lost for Team Cruz to his teammate Chris Saunders in Episode Eight, allowing him to focus solely on the task at hand without worrying about possibly meeting him down the road.

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