UFC 226 Opening Odds Reactions


UFC 226 takes place Saturday, July 7 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The offshore sportsbooks recently released the complete betting odds for the card, and here they are along with my initial thoughts on them.

UFC 226 Opening Odds

Stipe Miocic -170
Daniel Cormier +140

Max Holloway -180
Brian Ortega +140

Francis Ngannou -230
Derrick Lewis +170

Michael Chiesa -150
Anthony Pettis +110

Gokhan Saki -180
Khalil Rountree +140

Paulo Costa -290
Uriah Hall +210

Jamie Moyle -350
Emily Whitmire +250

Raphael Assuncao -270
Rob Font +190

Mike Perry -160
Yancy Medeiros +120

Curtis Millender -190
Max Griffin +150

Dan Hooker -160
Gilbert Burns +120

Lando Vannata -245
Drakkar Klose +175

And my thoughts on these fights:

- I have previously given my thoughts on some of these bouts. To see my thoughts on Holloway vs. Ortega, go here. To see my thoughts on Chiesa vs. Pettis and Ngannou vs. Lewis, go here.

- As for the other fights I haven't previously written about, wow, this card is stacked with good ones. Let's start with the Saki vs. Rountree fight. I absolutely love this fight as I'm expecting a standup war between two excellent strikers. Saki (1-1) had a successful UFC debut with a brutal KO win over Henrique da Silva. He showed in that fight that he has excellent striking technique and brutal power due to his vast experience as a kickboxer, though his cardio in that fight concerned me. Rountree (6-2, 1 NC) is 2-2, 1 NC in the UFC and has been very hit-or-miss overall in the Octagon. We've seen him score a few brutal knockouts, but we've also seen him lose to some opponents he should have beaten. Overall, I think the opening line is a tad high in Saki's favor, but I do slightly lean towards him since this is a standup fight and he should be the better striker. But then again, it's not a kickboxing match, it's MMA, so we'll see.

- Headed to the stacked preliminary card, Costa vs. Hall should also be another striker's delight. Costa (11-0) is 3-0 in the UFC with three knockouts and the UFC vews him as a future ticket seller for them in Brazil. Hall (13-8) is 6-6 in the UFC and is coming off of a KO win over Krzysztof Jotko. At times Hall has looked like a world beater but he's been so inconsistent and is hard to trust with your money. I understand why Costa is heavily favored here and I agree with it, but since the opener went up Costa has been steamed up 100 cents. I don't know if I'd want to lay that kind of heavy juice against Hall, considering some of the upsets he's scored in the past.

- For a dog upset, I have my eye on the Vannata vs. Klose fight. As flashy as Vannata (9-2-1) has been, he's only 1-2-1 in the UFC and has been a pretty poor bet overall despite his talent. At times Vannata has looked like a world beater but at other times he has looked like an average fighter. Klose (8-0-1) is 2-1 in the UFC and while he did look awful against David Teymur in his last fight, I feel like he can bounce back here with a win. At these odds I am leaning towards the dog in what should be a close fight.

Tags: opening odds

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About the Author

Adam Martin

Mixed martial arts journalist. Lead writer for MMAOddsbreaker.com and also featured at @MMARatingsNet, @mmanews_com and @fightodds_io.

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